Forex Trade Review

Last Friday, Non-Farm Payrolls is out. This is like fuel for Usd and it effect all pair especially eur/usd and gbp/usd. Last friday the report came out a mixed bag. People are confused and the price swing up and down. I was on the losing side of the trade but because of the swing at certain point I was 30 pips up but because Marketiva usually lock out during news hour, I finally end up at a lost. Well its forex anyway. If you dont lose in forex you dont feel the thrill.

Anyway Im going to review few pairs. Maybe some of you can find a trade from my review. As for me I am currently out of the market waiting for it to come to sense. Currently all pairs are at extreme oversold or overbought.

Eur/Usd
Currently at 1.2532 after a drop of almost 200 pips. Currently its on a thin downtrend with a possible target of 1.2450. For those of you who are already on a short position, you may hold the position with trailing stop loss of your choice. For me I will only consider an entry at 1.2450, that will depend on the strength of the momentum.

Gbp/Usd
Currently at 1.8540 and just like eur/usd it drop like a rock during NFP report out. Possible target is 1.8200. Looks like a retrace coming soon. Just watch the trend and momentum for possible entry. I will be looking at this one.

Usd/Cad
Currently at 1.1330. My last signal manage to get me 30 pips. Too small for the effort. Currently going up with possible target of 1.1450. Overshot all indicators. Possible retrace at 1.1360. I will be watching this one.

This is my review. Its not a trade recommendation. Be very carefull on your trade coz forex is a risky market. If you are not sure better stay out until the market make some sense. Happy trading.

DAILY TRADING - THERE IS NO SPOON

Some people are asking me about the secret of daily trading. The answer is there is no secret. It is there for everyone to see but the question is, can you accept what you see.

Trading the daily chart requires patience, lots of it. That is what most of us lack. Patience. If you look at the longer timeframe charts, you will see that price will stop or hover around certain areas. That is your key point. Always start or stop trading around these key point.

The next indicator I use is CCI. CCI alone is a bit of a headache. So I smooth it out with MA. With the MA, I can see the direction of trade clearly. People say MA is a lagging indicator but I dont want to be early going to a party. I like to enter when the party already started.

The last advice is, there is no such thing as holly grail. You just cannot win all the time. The best that we can do is try to win as much as possible and lose a little as possible. In the long run, it would be profitable enough to stay trading. Otherwise you need to find another business to run.

Do you have what it takes to become a successful Forex Trader?

Forex trading, or any trading for that matter, is an occupation that requires experience and the accumulation of proficiency not unlike any other highly skilled profession. Whether you are a leading executive at a major publically traded company, a professional golfer or trading from your kitchen table, there are 5 key ingredients that one must possess in order to become successful.

1. You must be Passionate about what you do.

As Forex traders we all face one unique set of circumstances that does not exist in any other profession. We get rewarded for when we succeed and equally punished when we don’t! Could you image a corporate worker one quarter receiving a significant accomplishment bonus and the next quarter actually getting money taken from their paycheck for missing performance targets? Not on your life!
2. You have to Apply Yourself and work hard at it.

I talk to so many people that enter into Forex trading with the aspiration of getting rich quick. Without putting the time and energy into really getting good at trading I see them jump from strategy to strategy looking for the goose that will lay the golden egg and eventually quitting while blaming everything else, except the true cause
2. You have to Apply Yourself and work hard at it.

I talk to so many people that enter into Forex trading with the aspiration of getting rich quick. Without putting the time and energy into really getting good at trading I see them jump from strategy to strategy looking for the goose that will lay the golden egg and eventually quitting while blaming everything else, except the true cause
4. You must Push Yourself beyond the point everyone else might have quite.

In Forex Trading this is simple. Assume there is someone on the other side of your trade that is pushing themselves and sharpening their edge. To be successful you must you must do the same thing. Now is the time to examine your mental edge. Do you know the single most critical factor in any currency trade? It is you, the trader! Sharpening you mental edge is the most difficult aspect of trading, but also the most rewarding.5. You must, without wavering, be Determined and Persist to your objective.

You will fail. I can state that emphatically. However, you will not be defeated unless you allow your failures to control your trading. It is the old adage; failure is not falling of your horse, failure is refusing to get back on. Your success depends on your ability to dismiss the criticism, rejection, self-doubt and pressures associated with Forex trading.

Happy Trading!!

Forex strategy

It is quiet obvious that the traders trading in currencies and interested in exchange markets, will be equally keen and interested in knowing about the overall economic development of the countries whose currencies they hold, or are interested in buying. Every trader wants to be convinced that they economy they are about to invest in is developing with a solid and steady growth, which can be known by studying various factors such as unemployment, import and export, and the GDP statistics of a particular countryterima kasih atas sarannya. sebenarnya saya sedang membuat salah satu strategi dan dilengkapi dengan screen shhotnya, dan sekarang dalam proses pengerjaan, mhn bersabar.

Dollar Debate Misses at G8, but Criticism is still there

So the Dollar was spared yesterday, spared by a seemingly minor situation in an obscure city in an insignificant province of a very relevant state. The Uighur uprising in China took the debate about the value of the dollar as a global reserve unit off the table at the G8 (due to the fact the Chinese president, Hu Jintao, was forced to leave the summit), however it did not stop the show of concern that America’s counterparts in the G8 had.Germany, one of the US’s staunchest supporters during the Bush years, have chilled that relationship and have become more openly critical of the Obama administration. In the past, when the German government had a problem with the US’s policies, you read about it weeks after it had been sorted out, George W. Bush had a great relationship with the German Chancellor Merkel, and it showed. It is ironic. Obama’s social philosophy is more aligned with the German’s and much of Western Europe for that matter, Bush was far to the right of where Europe was. However, we are seeing a spate of discontent from the Western European leaders at the Obama policies – and this is most evident in the words and silence of Germany. Long-time Forex traders know this to be true as in the past, we did not see the spikes we do today in the Dollar, after a European leader gives a speech, today it is routine.In the absence of the BRIC debate on a global reserve currency, Angela Merkel, the German Chancellor, filled in nicely and spoke of how the focus of many nations vital to the economic stability of the world has been on reliving mistakes of years past. By assuming the policies of stimulating the economy through a broad array of spending programs, a tactic that was employed and failed in 1933, the rising debt has been ignored and has grown in such a manner, that the entire world is now under threat of jeopardy in more profound manner.Merkel’s concerns are valid and traders need to keep this in mind when dealing in the Dollar. As we have seen, the Japanese Yen has been profiting nicely from the return of safe-haven flows where it usually took a secondary role to the Dollar in this capacity. The Dollar is volatile, more than ever before, because traders as well as the long-term investors are unsure of which way to go. Sentiment keeps us in the Dollar, but reality forces us to look away. I believe the next three months are vital to determining which way the pendulum will swing for the Dollar – and it starts with the criticism of a European leader that an American policy is too liberal. Go figure.

Stock markets are rising? Look at the Big Picture!

With many of the primary stock markets reaching yearly highs, it would appear that optimism about the prospects for a global recovery is high. The increase in overall risk appetite in the and the jump in stocks have been incredibly impressive.According to the news reports, these shifts in sentiment have been driven higher by better than expected corporate earnings out of the US along with good economic data. But something is just not adding up for me, and I am not quite sure where to place my disbelief. It is odd that just as the markets are flying, bond yields for the major economic countries, the US, Japan, England etc, are going higher. Now obviously this is due in part to trader speculation that once the recovery takes hold, these countries will have no choice but to start raising their low rates. But what concerns me is the effect of quantitative easing that many of these countries employed. Funnelling money into the system at such a large rate as many of these countries had, will no doubt cause mild to moderate inflation – which would require lower rates. So what is going on?Last week gave us a clue that all is not so rosy though. England reported a weaker-than-expected GDP figures for the second quarter – much weaker than expected to be specific. Perhaps the Brits are not fudging their numbers like the Americans are – not that I know anything for a fact, but it wont surprise me to find that out in a few months. This week's vast amount of economic data coming out of Europe and the US should help paint a better picture. I fully expect sugar-coating, but I know that the Forex traders will be keen to pick up on that. Among the core numbers to look for this week are the US GDP and the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index. Consumer Confidence and Housing Prices along with New Home Sales numbers are important, but this is where my scepticism is most pronounced as we have seen anomalies in these numbers in recent months and they are easier to manipulate – so keep a sharp eye out there.I expect the general tone of this week's data to support the recent signs of improvement. It remains to be seen, however, whether the outturns will be sufficient to maintain the bullish momentum as we head into August. Short of very strong numbers, I doubt it will happen. Look for a weaker week in the Dollar and look for the Aussie and Kiwi to be the beneficiaries of that.

Dollar and Yen lose safe haven appeal, but not for the same reasons

As the Dollar and Yen lose their luster for now, partly due to positive news and partly due to political uncertainty (in Japan primarily, but to some extent the US), I want to take this opportunity to rant. I have been involved in the markets for the better part of 15 years. I started my career as a stock broker and find myself now a staunch advocate of the Forex. I have weathered turbulence in the markets, former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan’s “irrational exuberance” speech (which ironically sent the markets on the biggest rally in 50 years), the internet bubble burst and now the “biggest recession since the great depression.” I lived through 8 US presidents, saw two of the greatest leaders – economically speaking – in Reagan and Clinton and saw miserable failures like Carter and the senior Bush. But, in my life I have never witnessed such irresponsibility and lack of basic understanding of free market thought, as I have with the current president, Barack Obama.Carter was a failure, not because he held such liberal policies as many would have you believe, he failed because he was weak, in domestic and international relations he was viewed as timid and non-confrontational. Perhaps, had he been more assertive he would have succeeded in reforming the system to his liking – and I would be blaming him for killing capitalism. And, as much as people compare the two – Obama is not a Jimmy Carter. We need to look at the core of the man - Carter was weak, Obama is strong. Carter had the support of the US Congress, but was not able to achieve, because he sought bi-partisanship which he did not get. Obama does not care about what the other side thinks, as long as his side is on board it is fine. But Obama has another tool at his disposal that enables him to push his agenda through, without the help of the Congress, the Czar. In the US, cabinet members need to go through a vigorous vetting and approval process by both branches of Congress. A Czar is not a cabinet member. First introduced by Ronald Reagan to head up the war on drugs, a Czar has broad powers to do – and answers only to the president. Reagan created this role because he did not believe the drug war would go on for so long and therefore adding a cabinet post, a move that takes a constitutional amendment, would not be necessary.Obama however has gone beyond this level, appointing 33 Czars, each with an average salary of $250,000 and annual budget for office and staff of over 10 million. This is the single largest expansion of governmental agencies ever – and the fun part is this is not part of the government as the Czars answer only to the president. It is shocking – and it is why Obama is not like Carter – he has the power to achieve what he wants, whether congress says yes or no to the idea, he has a back door to his goals if he needs it.I am not sure if the American public should be more upset at the wasteful 340 million plus that this group is costing them, or the fact that Obama has given powers to a group of people that subvert the system of checks and balances that has made America unique and safe from tyranny. Congress gave Reagan the approval for this post for logical reasons - quick and decisive action was needed, and waiting for congress to approve each mission was pointless. Obama has exploited this rule and it will be to the detriment of the US populace. Take for example the idea that his health czar is proposing – taxing the rich 5% to pay for health coverage for everyone else, or his employment czar, extending benefits to the unemployed by and relaxing the rules so that they do not need to be seeking employment while getting the benefits (their rationale for this: “it is a hard job market you know – it might demoralize the unemployed to have to keep searching for a job in this tight market”). And just how do they pay for this unlimited benefit? You guessed it, taxing the rich. This makes no sense. Why penalize those who work and reward those that don’t? all you do is make the productive less ambitious to be productive and you make the non-productive dependant on a system that is willing to care for them indefinitely – so in turn there is less productivity by default. In my opinion, you don’t need a stimulus that will give people money to do nothing; you need a stimulus that will spark production – as that is what will save the economy over the long haul. For Forex traders and enthusiasts what does this mean? It means the US is moving in the direction of China and Russia and Venezuela, in which there is a central government that controls all things. So what does this mean for the Dollar? Only time can tell, but it does not look too good.